.png)
.png)
Послать статью по эл. почте 
Оценка экономического риска для горнолыжных курортов, связанного с изменением продолжительности залегания снежного покрова
https://doi.org/10.15356/2076-6734-2014-3-100-106
Аннотация
На примере района Красной Поляны рассматривается зависимость надёжности функционирования горнолыжных курортов от продолжительности залегания устойчивого снежного покрова в условиях изменяющегося климата. Делается вывод о необходимости при организации новых зимних курортов детального анализа существующей климатической ситуации и возможных её изменений. Оцениваются вероятные экономические потери для действующих горнолыжных курортов в данном районе.
Об авторах
С. А. СократовРоссия
Ю. Г. Селиверстов
Россия
А. Л. Шныпарков
Россия
Список литературы
1. Anisimov O.A. Present-day and future changes of permafrost: synthesis of observations and modeling. Problemy Arktiki i Antarktiki. Problems of Arctic and Antarctic. 2008, 1 (78): 7–16. [In Russian].
2. Atlas snezhno-ledovykh resursev mira. World Atlas of Snow and Ice Resources. V. 1. Ed. V.M. Kotlyakov. Moscow: Russian Academy of Sciences, 1997: 392 p.
3. Borzenkova A.B., Shmakin A.B. Changes of snow depth and daily intensity of snowfalls influenced to the expenses of highways cleaning in the Russian cities. Led i Sneg. Ice and Snow. 2012, 2 (118): 59–70. [In Russian].
4. Glyatsiologicheskiy slovar’. Glaciological Glossary. Ed. V.M. Kotlyakov. Leningrad: Hydrometeoizdat, 1984: 528 p. [In Russian].
5. Oleynikov A.B. Snow resources of the Krasnaya Polyana region (West Caucasus). Led i Sneg. Ice and Snow. 2013, 4 (124): 83–94. [In Russian].
6. Mal’neva I.V., Kononova N.K. Activity of mudflows at the territory of Russia and surrounding countries in XXI century. Georisk. 2012, 4: 48–54. [In Russian].
7. Rayonirovanie territorii Rossiyskoy Federatsii po vesu snezhnogo pokrova. Regionalization of the territory of Russian Federation according to the weight of snow. Technical document. Moscow: Ministry of the Regional Development of Russian Federation, 2011: 12 p. [In Russian].
8. Richter G.D. Use of snow in the national economy. Voprosy izucheniya snega i ispolzovaniya ego v narodnom khozyaystve. Problems of snow studies and use of snow in the national economy. Moscow: USSR Academy of Sciences, 1955: 5–22. [In Russian].
9. Seliverstov Yu.G., Glazovskaya T.G., Volodicheva N.A., Oleynikov A.D., Klimenko E.S., Samokhina E.A., Shnyparkov A.L. Assessment of avalanche danger in the mountain climatic resort “Alpica-Service”. Materialy Glyatsiologicheskikh Issledovaniy. Data of Glaciological Studies. 2012, 1: 31–38. [In Russian].
10. Formozov A.N. Snezhnyi pokrov kak factor sredy, ego znachenie v zhizni mlekopitayushchikh i ptits SSSR. Snow cover as a factor of the environment, its role in the life of mammalian and birds. Moscow State University, 1990: 268 p. [In Russian].
11. Shkol’nik I.M., Meleshko V.P., Kattsov V.M. Possible changes of climate at the European part of Russia and surrounding territories to the end of XXI century: calculation with the regional model of GGO. [In Russian]. Meteorologiya i gidrologiya. Meteorology and Hydrology. 2006, 3: 5–16.
12. Shul’gin A.M. Snezhnaya melioratsiya i klimat pochvy. Snow melioration and soil climate. Leningrad: Hydrometeoizdat, 1986: 72 p. [In Russian].
13. Ager B. Studier över klimatet i Norrland, Dalarna och Värmland: Studies of the Climate in North and Central Sweden (Studia Forestalia Suecica, Nr. 19). Stockholm: Skogshögskolan, 1964: 105 s.
14. Breiling M., Charamza P. The impact of global warming on winter tourism and skiing: a regionalised model for Austrian snow conditions. Regional Environmental Change. 1999, 1 (1): 4–14. doi: 10.1007/s101130050003.
15. Breiling M., Charamza P., Skage O.R. Klimasensibilität österreichischer Bezirke mit besonderer Berücksichtigung des Wintertourismus (Institutionen för landskapsplanering Alnarp: Rapport 97:1). Alnarp: Sveriges Lantbruksuniversitet, 1997: 102 s.
16. Callaghan T.V., Johansson M., Brown R.D., Groisman P.Ya, Labba N., Radionov V., Barry R.G., Blangy S., Bradley R.S., Bulygina O.N., Christensen T.R., Colman J., Essery R.L.H., Forbes B., Forchhammer M.C., Frolov D.M., Golubev V.N., Grenfell T.C., Honrath R.E., Juday G.P., Melloh R., Meshcherskaya A.V., Petrushina M.N., Phoenix G.K., Pomeroy J., Rautio A., Razuvaev V.N., Robinson D.A., Romanov P., Schmidt N.M., Serreze M.C., Shevchenko V., Shiklomanov A.I., Shindell D., Shmakin A.B., Sköld P., Sokratov S.A., Sturm M., Warren S., Woo M.-k., Wood E.F., Yang D. Changing snow cover and its impacts. Snow, Water, Ice and Permafrost in the Arctic (SWIPA): Climate Change and the Cryosphere. Oslo: Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Programme (AMAP), 2011: 4-1 – 4-58.
17. Elsasser H., Bürki R. Climate change as a threat to tourism in the Alps. Climate Research. 2002: 20 (3): 253–257. doi: 10.3354/cr020253.
18. Glazovskaya T.G. Global distribution of snow avalanches and changing activity in the Northern Hemisphere due to climate change. Annals of Glaciology. 1998, 26: 337–342.
19. Gonseth C. Impact of snow variability on the Swiss winter tourism sector: implications in an era of climate change. Climatic Change. 2013, 119 (2): 307–320. doi: 10.1007/s10584-013-0718-3.
20. Hatanaka K.-i., Breiling M., Sato Y., Charamza P. Significance of winter tourism in hilly and mountainous areas of Japan. SEPPYO: Journ. of the Japanese Society of Snow and Ice. 2006, 68 (1): 15–29.
21. de Jong C., Masure P., Barth T. Challenges of alpine catchment management under changing climatic and anthropogenic pressures. Proc. of the iEMSs Fourth Biennial Meeting: Intern. Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software iEMSs 2008; Integrating Sciences and Information Technology for Environmental Assessment and Decision Making. V. 1. Eds. M. Sànchez-Marrè, J. Béjar, J. Comas, A. Rizzoli, G. Guariso. Barcelona: International Environmental Modelling and Software Society, 2008: 694–702.
22. Keller F., Frauenfelder R., Gardaz J., Hoelzle M., Kneisel C., Lugon R., Phillips M., Reynard E., Wenker L. Permafrost map of Switzerland. PERMAFROST – 7th Intern. Conf., June 23–27, 1998, Yellowknife, Canada (Collection Nordicana, № 57). Eds. A.G. Lewkowicz, M. Allard. Québec: Centre d'études nordiques, Université Laval, 1998: 557–562.
23. Marty C. Regime shift of snow days in Switzerland. Geophys. Research Letters. 2008, 35 (12): L12501. doi: 10.1029/2008GL033998.
24. Mihashi H., Takahashi T. Japanese recommendation 1993 for snow loads on buildings. Snow Engineering: Recent Advances (Proc. of the Third Intern. Conf. on Snow Engineering, Sendai, Japan, 26–31 May 1996). Eds. M. Izumi, Ts. Nakamura, R.L. Sack. Rotterdam, Brookfield: A.A. Balkema, 1997: 215–222.
25. Morrison C., Pickering C.M. Perceptions of climate change impacts, adaptation and limits to adaption in the Australian Alps: the ski-tourism industry and key stakeholders. Journ. of Sustainable Tourism. 2013,21 (2): 173–191. doi: 10.1080/09669582.2012.681789.
26. Sack R.L. Perspectives on the science, engineering and effects of snow. Snow Engineering: Recent Advances (Proc. of the Third Intern. Conf. on Snow Engineering, Sendai, Japan, 26–31 May 1996). Eds. M. Izumi, Ts. Nakamura, R.L. Sack. Rotterdam, Brookfield: A.A. Balkema, 1997: 3–10.
27. Scott D., Dawson J., Jones B. Climate change vulnerability of the US Northeast winter recreation- tourism sector. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for a Global Change. 2008, 13 (5–6): 577–596. doi: 10.1007/s11027-007-9136-z.
28. Spreitzhofer G., Sperka S., Steinacker R. MetGIS™: combination of Meteorological and Geographic Information Systems to produce high resolution mountain weather forecasts. Meteorological Applications. 2013, 20 (3): 371–378. doi: 10.1002/met.1299.
29. Uhlmann B., Goyette S., Beniston M. Sensitivity analysis of snow patterns in Swiss ski resorts to shifts in temperature, precipitation and humidity under conditions of climate change. Intern. Journ. of Climatology. 2009, 29 (8): 1048–1055. doi: 10.1002/joc.1786.
30. Wolfsegger Ch., Gössling S., Scott D. Climate change risk appraisal in the Austrian ski industry. Tourism Review International. 2008, 12 (1): 13–23. doi: 10.3727/154427208785899948.
31. Технический отчёт по инженерно-гидрометеорологическим изысканиям на объекте: «Горно-туристический центр открытого акционерного общества «Газпром», в том числе канатные дороги и горнолыжные спуски, объекты инженерной и транспортной инфраструктуры (проектные и изыскательские работы, строительство). Девятый этап строительства. ООО «ГЕО-ИНЖИНИРИНГ», 2010. 101 с.
Дополнительные файлы
Для цитирования: Сократов С.А., Селиверстов Ю.Г., Шныпарков А.Л. Оценка экономического риска для горнолыжных курортов, связанного с изменением продолжительности залегания снежного покрова. Лёд и Снег. 2014;54(3):100-106. https://doi.org/10.15356/2076-6734-2014-3-100-106
For citation: Sokratov S.A., Seliverstov Y.G., Shnyparkov A.L. Assessment of the economic risk for the ski resorts of changes in snow cover duration. Ice and Snow. 2014;54(3):100-106. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.15356/2076-6734-2014-3-100-106
Обратные ссылки
- Обратные ссылки не определены.
ISSN 2076-6734 (Print)
ISSN 2412-3765 (Online)