Calculating of extreme thicknesses and strength characteristics of the first-year ice cover of the Kara Sea using a thermodynamic model


https://doi.org/10.31857/S2076673421040107

Full Text:




Abstract

Using the example of the Kara Sea, the possibility to calculate values of the thickness and strength characteristics of ice of rare occurrence for areas of marine waters with seasonal ice cover, where field observations are absent, is considered. A method for obtaining climatic characteristics of meteorological elements for conditions of different occurrence (extreme values) has been developed. It is based on the selection of a statistical distribution law for the «freezing degree-days» (FDD). On the basis of the obtained sums of the degree-days, the restoration of daily values of the air temperature is carried out. This technique can be applied to areas of the Arctic seas with seasonal ice cover. The obtained climatic characteristics allow us to estimate the strength properties and thickness of sea ice using a thermodynamic model. The proposed method makes it possible to calculate values of the thickness and strength characteristics of ice for the entire water area of the Kara Sea. For average climatic conditions, the calculated estimates of the periods of stable ice formation, thickness and strength characteristics of ice are in good agreement with the results of field observations. It is established that the moment of maximum ice strength does not coincide with the time when the ice reaches its maximum thickness. The characteristics of the ice cover calculated for conditions of rare occurrence also do not contradict the values observed in nature. The differences in the duration of the ice season in the south-western part of the sea from the north-eastern part, obtained under climatic conditions of different occurrence, are shown.


About the Authors

O. M. Andreev
Arctic and Antarctic Research Institute
Russian Federation
St. Petersburg


D. V. Drabenko
Arctic and Antarctic Research Institute
Russian Federation
St. Petersburg


References

1. Polyakov I.V., Alekseev G.V., Bekryaev R.V., Bhatt U.S., Colony R., Johnson M.A., Karklin V.P., Walsh D., Yulin A.V. Long-term ice variability in Arctic marginal seas. Journ. of Climate. 2003, 16 (12): 2078–2085.

2. Cavalieri D.J., Parkinson C.L. Arctic sea ice variability and trends, 1979–2010. The Cryosphere. 2012, 6 (4): 881–889.

3. Borodachev V.E. L’dy Karskogo moria. Ice of Kara Sea. St. Petersburg: Hydrometeoizdat, 1998: 182 p. [In Russian].

4. Divine D.V., Korsnes R., Makshtas A.P. Variability and climate sensitivity of fast ice extent in the north-eastern Kara Sea. Polar Research. 2003, 22 (1): 27–34.

5. Zubakin G.K., Egorov A.G., Ivanov V.V., Lebedev A.A., Buzin I.V., Eide L.I. Formation of the severe ice condi tions in the southwestern Kara Sea. Proc. of the 18-th Intern. Ocean and Polar Engineering Conf. Vancou ver, Canada, 2008: 623–629.

6. Matishov G.G., Dzhenyuk S.L., Moiseev D.V., Zhichkin A.P. Pronounced anomalies of air, water, ice con ditions in the Barents and Kara Seas, and the Sea of Azov. Oceanologia. 2014, 56 (3): 445–460.

7. Morskoy led. Spravochnoye posobiye. Sea ice. Reference Guide. St. Petersburg: Hydrometeoizdat, 1997: 402 p. [In Russian].

8. Ebert E.E., Curry J.A. An intermediate one-dimensional thermodynamic sea ice model for investigating iceatmosphere interactions Journ. of Geophys. Research. 1993, 98 (C6): 10085–10109.

9. https://www.ecmwf.int/. European Centre for Medi um-Range Weather Forecasts.

10. https://www.ncep.noaa.gov/. National Centers for En vironmental Prediction.

11. SP 38.13330.2018 Nagruzki i vozdeystviya na gidrotekhnicheskiye sooruzheniya (volnovyye, ledovyye i ot sudov). Aktualizirovannaya redaktsiya SNIP 2.06.04–82. Loads and impacts on hydraulic structures (wave, ice and from ships). Updated edition COD 2.06.04–82. Mos cow: Standardinform, 2019: 122 p. [In Russian].

12. ISO/FDIS 19906:2010(E). Petroleum and natural gas industries – Arctic offshore structures. 2010. P. 435.

13. Andreev O.M., Ivanov B.V. Parameterization of radiation processes in the ice cover model. Meteorologiya i Gidrologiya. Meteorology and Hydrology. 2001, 2: 81–88. [In Russian].

14. Nazintsev Yu. L., Dmitraz Z.A., Moiseev V.I. Teplofizicheskiye svoystva morskogo l'da. Thermophysical properties of sea ice. L.: Leningrad State University Publishing House, 1988: 260 p. [In Russian].

15. Cox G.F., Weeks W.F. Salinity variations in sea ice. Journ. of Glaciology. 1974, 13 (67): 109–120.

16. Makshtas A.P, Andreas E.L., Svyashchennikov P.N., Timachev V.F. Accounting for Clouds in Sea Ice Models. Cold Regions Research and Engineering Laboratory. 1998, 9 (89): 30 p.

17. Timco G.W., Frederking R. Compressive strength of sea ice sheets. Cold Regions Science and Technology. 1990, 17 (3): 227–240.

18. Timco G.W. Flexural strength equation for sea ice. Cold Regions Science and Technology. 1994, 22 (3): 285–298.

19. Andreev O.M., Drabenko D.V. About the method of preparing the source data of different repeatability for thermodynamic modeling of ice in the Arctic. Meteorologiya i Gidrologiya. Meteorology and hydrology. 2020, 10: 112–120. [In Russian].

20. Gumbel E. Statistiki ekstremal'nykh znacheniy Extreme Statistics. Moskva: Mir, 1965: 450 p. [In Russian].

21. https://meteoinfo.ru/news/1-2009-10-01-09-0306/11151-03062015-l-r. Rekomendatsii po raschetu klimaticheskikh norm. WMO. Sayt Gidromettsentra Rossii. Recommendations for the calculation of climate stan dards. WMO Site of the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia.

22. Gavrilo V.P., Kovalev S.M., Lebedev G.A., Nedoshivin O.A. Mapping of the Barents and Kara Seas by strength and bearing capacity of first-year ice. Proc. of the 13th In tern. Conf. on Port and Ocean Engineering under Arc tic Condition. Murmansk, Russia. 1995, 3: 69–77.

23. Gladkov M.G., Petrov I.G., Fedorov B.A. The scheme for calculating the strength of ice. Trudy AANII. AARI works. 1983, 379: 75–88. [In Russian].

24. Karklin V.P., Hotchenkov S.V., Yulin A.V., Smolianitsky V.M. The formation of the age composition of ice in the southwestern part of the Kara Sea in the autumn and winter pe riod. Problemy Arktiki i Antarktiki. Problems of the Arctic and Antarctic. 2017, 3 (113): 16–26. [In Russian].

25. Karklin V.P., Hotchenkov S.V., Yulin A.V., Smolianitsky V.M. Seasonal changes in the age composition of ice in the north-eastern part of the Kara Sea in the au tumn and winter period. Problemy Arktiki i Antarktiki. Problems of the Arctic and Antarctic. 2016, 4 (110): 41–50. [In Russian].

26. Egorov A.G. Forecast of sustainable ice formation in the southwestern part of the Kara Sea. Sovremennyye problemy nauki i obrazovaniya. Modern problems of science and education, 2012, 4: 328. [In Russian].

27. Egorov A.G. Long-term forecast for sustainable ice for mation in the northeastern Kara Sea. Rezul'taty ispytaniya novyh i usovershenstvovannyh tekhnologij, modelej i metodov gidrometeorologicheskih prognozov. Test results of new and improved technologies, models and meth ods of hydrometeorological forecasts. 2011, 38: 56–78. [In Russian].

28. Kovalev S.M., Smirnov V.N., Borodkin V.A., Shushlebin A.I., Kolabutin N.V. Kornishin K.A., Efimov Y.O., Tarasov P.A., Volodin D.A. Physical and Mechanical Characteristics of Sea Ice in the Kara and Laptev Seas. Proc. of the 29-th Intern. Ocean and Polar Engineer ing Conf. Honolulu, USA, 2019: 2535–2539.

29. Chenglin D., Sheng D., Zhifeng W. Estimates of Sea Ice Mechanical Properties in the Kara Sea. Pure and Ap plied Geophysics. 2020, 177: 5101–5116.


Supplementary files

For citation: Andreev O.M., Drabenko D.V. Calculating of extreme thicknesses and strength characteristics of the first-year ice cover of the Kara Sea using a thermodynamic model. Ice and Snow. 2021;61(4):547-560. https://doi.org/10.31857/S2076673421040107

Views: 655

Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.


Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.


ISSN 2076-6734 (Print)
ISSN 2412-3765 (Online)