CHANGING OF THE ALTAI GLACIER SYSTEM SINCE THE MID-TWENTIETH CENTURY AND ITS RESPONSE TO THE CLIMATE WARMING IN FUTURE


https://doi.org/10.15356/2076-6734-2012-4-17-24


Abstract

Characteristics of the Altai glacier system are analyzed on the data from Chinese and Former Soviet Union glacier inventories. Two glacier data sets, recent remote sensing data and the glacier inventories data were compared. It has been found that 208 glaciers disappeared and the glacial area decreased by 12%. Functional models of the glacier system variations have been developed using the equation of relationship between an annual glacier ablation and a mean summer temperature; the glacier system structure and behavior of the equilibrium line altitudes at the steady state were taken into account as well. The models were used to study response of the glacial runoff to a climatic change. The model results show that, under the climate warming scenario of 0.05°С/year, only 3% Altai glaciers inChinaand 9% inRussiawill remain by the end of this century.


About the Authors

V. M. Kotlyakov
Institute of Geography Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow
Russian Federation


Xie Zichu
College of Resources and Environment Science, Hunan Normal University, Changsha Hunan; Cold and Arid Regions Environmental and Engineering Research Institute Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou Gansu
China


Wang Shuhong
College of Resources and Environment Science, Hunan Normal University, Changsha Hunan
China


Wang Xin
Cold and Arid Regions Environmental and Engineering Research Institute Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou Gansu; Department of Geography, Hunan University of Science & Technology, Xiangtan
China


T. Y. Khromova
Institute of Geography Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow
Russian Federation


G. A. Nosenko
Institute of Geography Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow
Russian Federation


References

1. Dolgushin L.D., Osipova G.B. Ledniki. Glaciers. Moscow: Mysl’, 1989: 448 p. [In Russian].

2. Katalog lednikov SSSR. USSR Glacier Inventory. V. 15. Issue 1. Pt. 6. Leningrad: Hydrometeoizdat, 1974: 60 p. [In Russian].

3. Katalog lednikov SSSR. USSR Glacier Inventory. V. 15. Issue 1. Pt. 5. Leningrad: Hydrometeoizdat, 1977: 47 p. [In Russian].

4. Kuzmichenok V.A. On calculation of mountain glaciers distribution with altitude. Materialy Glyatsiologicheskikh Issledovaniy. Data of Glaciological Studies. 1996, 80: 195–199. [In Russian].

5. Narozhnyi Yu.K., Nikitin S.A., Paromov V.V., Osipov A.V., Lukyanov A.A. Sofiyskiy Glacier (Altai): dynamics, glaciohydroclimatological regime and distribution of ice storage. Materialy Glyatsiologicheskikh Issledovaniy. Data of Glaciological Studies. 2002, 93: 152–164. [In Russian].

6. Narozhnyi Yu.K., Nikitin S.A. Present-day glaciation of Altai in the beginning of 21st century. Materialy Glyatsiologicheskikh Issledovaniy. Data of Glaciological Studies. 2003, 95: 93–101. [In Russian].

7. Nosenko G.A., Khromova T.E., Muraviev A.Ya., Narozhnyi Yu.K., Shakhgedanova M.V. Use of historic data and modern space images for assessment of glacier dimensions in Altai. Led i Sneg. Ice and Snow. 2010, 2 (110): 19–25. [In Russian].

8. Oledenenie Severnoy i Tsentral’noy Evrazii v sovremennuyu epokhu. Glaciation in North and Central Eurasia at present time. Ed. V.M. Kotlyakov. Moscow: Nauka, 2006: 190–198. [In Russian].

9. Deng Yuwu, Xie Zichu, Qin Jianxin, Wang Xin, Li Qiaoyuan. The field of equilibrium line altitude in the Ganga-Yarlung Zangbo rivers system: establishment and its environmental significance. Journ. of Glaciology and Geocryology. 2006, 28 (6): 865–872 [In Chinese with English abstract].

10. Ding Yongjian, Liu Shiyin, Li Jing, Shangguan Donghui, Zhang Yong. The retreat of glaciers in response to recent climate warming in western China. Annals of Glaciology. 2006, 43: 97–105.

11. Glacier Inventory of China (Altay Mountains). Lanzhou Institute of Glaciology and Cryology, Acadmica Sinica. 1982: 1–87 [In Chinese].

12. IPCC. Climate Change 2007: The Scientific Basis. Contribution of Working Group to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Eds. S.D. Solomon, D. Qin, M. Manning et al. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA. 2007: 996 p.

13. Kotlyakov V.M., Smolyarova N.A. Elsevier’s Dictionary of Glaciology. Amsterdam, Oxford, New York, Tokyo: Elsevier, 1990: 336 p.

14. Kotlyakov V.M., Krenke A.N. Investigation of hydrological conditions of Alpine regions, glaciological methods. IAHS. 1982, 138: 31–42.

15. Liu Chaohai, Xie Zichu, Dyurgerov M.B. Glaciation of Tien Shan Mountains. Beijing: Science Press, 1988: 227 p. [In Chinese].

16. Shahgedanova M., Nosenko G., Khromova T., Muraveyev A. Glacier shrinkage and climatic change in the Russian Altai from the mid of 20th century: An assessment using remote sensing and PRECIS regional climate model. Journ. of Geophys. Research. 2010, 115. D16107, doi: 10.1029/2009JD012976.

17. Shi Yafeng, Shen Yongping, Li Dongliang, Zhang Guowei, Ding Yongjian, Kang Ersi, Hu Ruji. An assessment of the issues of climatic shift from warm-dry to warm-wet in Northwest China. Beijing: Meteorological Press, 2003: 17–44 [In Chinese].

18. Wang Xin, Xie Zichu, Liu Shiyin, Tao Jianjun, Han Jongshun, Yang Yulong. Modeling the roles of precipitation increasing in glacier systems responding to climate warming – Taking Xinjiang glaciated region as example. Journ. of Mountain Science. 2005, 2 (4): 306–312.

19. Wang Xin, Xie Zichu, Liu Shiyin, Shang Guandonghui, Tao Jianjun, Yang Yulong. Prediction on the variation trend of glacier system in the source region of Tarim river responding to climate change. Journ. of Mountain Science. 2006, 24 (6): 641–646 [In Chinese with English abstract].

20. Wang Xin, XIie Zichu, Li Qiaoyuan, Wang Shuhong, Cheng Lei. Sensitivity analysis of glacier systems to climate warming in China. Journ. of Geogr. Sciences. 2008, 18 (2): 190–200.

21. Xie Zichu, Feng Qinghua, Liu Chaohai. Modeling the variation of glacier system –Taking the Southern Tibet Region as example. Journ. of Glaciology and Geocryology. 2002, 24 (1): 16–27 [In Chinese with English abstract].

22. Xie Zichu, Wang Xin, Feng Qinghua, Kang Ersi, Liu Chao-Hai, Li Qiao-Yuan. Modeling the response of glacier systems to climate warming. China Annals of Glaciology. 2006, 43: 313–316.


Supplementary files

For citation: Kotlyakov V.M., Zichu X., Shuhong W., Xin W., Khromova T.Y., Nosenko G.A. CHANGING OF THE ALTAI GLACIER SYSTEM SINCE THE MID-TWENTIETH CENTURY AND ITS RESPONSE TO THE CLIMATE WARMING IN FUTURE. Ice and Snow. 2012;52(3):17-24. https://doi.org/10.15356/2076-6734-2012-4-17-24

Views: 1442

Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.


Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.


ISSN 2076-6734 (Print)
ISSN 2412-3765 (Online)